Explain compute governance to a friend
Why do so many governance proposals focus on chips? Read one key paper and write a jargon-free explainer for someone outside tech.
Export controls target data-centre chips. But consumer hardware keeps getting better, and frontier-level performance reaches it within about a year. Update the analysis with the latest hardware.
If gaming hardware can get around the controls, policymakers need to know by how much.
Output: An updated quantitative analysis.
Read IAPS’s report and Epoch AI’s consumer-GPU gap analysis.
Collect specs for current consumer and data-centre chips from public sources.
Estimate what a cluster of consumer chips could train, and at what cost.
Compare with current export-control thresholds.
Write up your conclusion and its biggest uncertainty.
All steps done
Share what you made, then try another project. The PDF version has room for notes.
Why do so many governance proposals focus on chips? Read one key paper and write a jargon-free explainer for someone outside tech.
Download Epoch AI’s free dataset of notable AI models, chart training compute over time in Python, estimate how fast it grows, and count how many models cross the EU AI Act’s compute threshold.
MIRI TGT argued that catching up to a given capability level gets cheaper by roughly 60× per year. Re-run the analysis with newer models and test how robust that number is.