GovernanceTechnical1–3 hoursStarterFree

Plot AI compute trends with real data

Download Epoch AI’s free dataset of notable AI models, chart training compute over time in Python, estimate how fast it grows, and count how many models cross the EU AI Act’s compute threshold.

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Why it matters

Compute trends drive forecasts, export controls and legal thresholds. Reproducing them is a good first project for a coder interested in governance.

Output: A notebook with one chart, a growth-rate estimate and a short note.

Steps

0 of 5 done
  1. Get the data

    15 min

    Download the notable AI models dataset from Epoch AI’s data page (it is free, as a CSV). Open a Google Colab notebook and load it with pandas.

  2. Chart compute over time

    30 min

    Plot training compute against publication date with a log scale on the y-axis. Label a few famous models so the chart tells a story.

  3. Estimate the growth rate

    30 min

    Fit a straight line to log10(compute) for models since 2010 and convert the slope into “× per year” and a doubling time. Compare your answer with Epoch’s published estimate.

  4. Check a legal threshold

    20 min

    The EU AI Act presumes “systemic risk” for general-purpose models trained with more than 10²⁵ FLOP. Count how many models in the dataset exceed it, and when the first one did.

  5. Write it up honestly

    20 min

    Share the chart, your estimate, and the biggest caveat (for example, missing or estimated compute values for some models).

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Further reading

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