BiosecurityPolicyA few weeksIntermediateFree

Estimate what a city needs in a pandemic

How many critical workers would a city need to protect? How much indoor space is there? What data would a government want on day one of a crisis?

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Why it matters

Planning stockpiles of masks, filters and supplies starts with estimates nobody has made carefully.

Output: A transparent estimate with sources and uncertainty ranges.

Possible directions

  • Total floor area of a city’s public spaces
  • Data that would be immediately useful to government in a crisis
  • Data needed to estimate critical-worker numbers

Getting started

0 of 5 done
  1. Define exactly the quantity you want to estimate.

  2. Find the data sources and note their limits.

  3. Do a rough back-of-envelope version first.

  4. Refine the input you are least sure about.

  5. Present one clear chart and a sentence on uncertainty.

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Further reading

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